Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.004887 0.005407 0.005947 0.006546 0.007193 0.007869 0.008627
2024-12-15 0.004200 0.004960 0.005788 0.006751 0.007839 0.009025 0.010411
2024-12-22 0.003725 0.004617 0.005623 0.006834 0.008246 0.009831 0.011735
2024-12-29 0.003428 0.004422 0.005579 0.007011 0.008722 0.010688 0.013102
2025-01-05 0.003206 0.004285 0.005575 0.007208 0.009204 0.011542 0.014464
2025-01-12 0.002851 0.003951 0.005299 0.007049 0.009233 0.011839 0.015154
2025-01-19 0.002606 0.003732 0.005146 0.007021 0.009404 0.012296 0.016031
2025-01-26 0.002366 0.003499 0.004956 0.006926 0.009477 0.012623 0.016743
2025-02-02 0.002185 0.003330 0.004836 0.006909 0.009639 0.013052 0.017581
2025-02-09 0.002015 0.003165 0.004706 0.006869 0.009761 0.013427 0.018350
2025-02-16 0.001937 0.003119 0.004735 0.007035 0.010152 0.014147 0.019566
2025-02-23 0.001773 0.002940 0.004568 0.006926 0.010169 0.014380 0.020154
2025-03-02 0.001654 0.002822 0.004483 0.006931 0.010344 0.014828 0.021040
2025-03-09 0.001613 0.002818 0.004560 0.007161 0.010830 0.015697 0.022496
2025-03-16 0.001534 0.002749 0.004537 0.007247 0.011116 0.016302 0.023610
2025-03-23 0.001488 0.002729 0.004585 0.007432 0.011542 0.017098 0.024990
2025-03-30 0.001452 0.002721 0.004647 0.007639 0.012001 0.017946 0.026451
2025-04-06 0.001323 0.002555 0.004462 0.007472 0.011920 0.018050 0.026901
2025-04-13 0.001238 0.002454 0.004372 0.007442 0.012032 0.018418 0.027714
2025-04-20 0.001143 0.002331 0.004241 0.007343 0.012038 0.018635 0.028319
2025-04-27 0.001074 0.002247 0.004166 0.007325 0.012160 0.019015 0.029151
2025-05-04 0.001004 0.002158 0.004078 0.007284 0.012243 0.019337 0.029905
2025-05-11 0.000982 0.002152 0.004127 0.007457 0.012652 0.020130 0.031333